← Distorted Reflection Shuffle Store Championship
Wind Dawn of AshesTier 2
at Distorted Reflection Shuffle Store Championship
decks
1
(3.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.1%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1144
· median 1144
· range 1144–1144
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1070
Q1 1165
Q3 1374
1460
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.5% | -7.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.8 |
| Slimes | 7.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.7 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Dawn of Ashes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
