Wind Astra ClericTier 2
at Round Table Games Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 15.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.4% | -8.9 |
| Water Fractal | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 6.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.9 |
| Wind Arcane | 6.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.6 |
| Arcane | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Slimes | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Alice | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +1.2 |
| Wind Chess | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.0% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.3 |
| Wind Slimes | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 17 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 17 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spirit of Wind | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stellaria Shower | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Alkahest | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Astral Seal | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Wind | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spellshield: Astra | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unyielding Wraithguard | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vanish from Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Harvest Herbs | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hide in Bush | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nascent Barrier | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |