[TCG] Jan. RED STITCH CLOTH MAT event

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	6	15.8%	15-7-6	64.3%	50.1%	58.0%	50.3%	1461	↑ top
2		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	4	10.5%	4-10-0	28.6%	49.4%	39.2%	49.7%	1395	—
3		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	3	7.9%	3-4-3	45.0%	49.6%	45.8%	49.5%	1368	—
4		Water Fractal	Tier 2	3	7.9%	4-5-0	44.4%	49.0%	48.8%	49.7%	1483	↑ top
5		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 1	2	5.3%	5-3-1	61.1%	50.9%	54.9%	50.6%	1352	—
6		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 1	2	5.3%	6-1-2	77.8%	52.1%	55.3%	50.7%	1294	↓ low
7		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	2	5.3%	1-7-1	16.7%	47.7%	41.2%	49.2%	1385	—
8		Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.7%	50.0%	50.3%	1418	—
9		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-2-1	50.0%	50.4%	45.0%	50.1%	1351	—
10		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-1-2	66.7%	51.8%	56.9%	50.9%	1241	↓ low
11		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-2-1	58.3%	50.7%	53.1%	50.7%	1353	—
12		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-2-0	0.0%	48.7%	40.0%	49.2%	1241	↓ low
13		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-1-1	75.0%	51.1%	56.4%	50.5%	1468	↑ top
14		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-2-0	60.0%	49.3%	52.5%	49.8%	1590	↑ top
15		Fire Tera Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-2-0	0.0%	49.3%	40.0%	49.6%	1170	↓ low
16		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-2-0	66.7%	50.4%	50.0%	50.0%	1359	—
17		Water Diana	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-2-0	0.0%	50.0%	40.0%	50.0%	1094	↓ low
18		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-4-0	33.3%	50.4%	46.0%	50.1%	1265	↓ low
19		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-1-1	75.0%	50.1%	56.4%	50.3%	1582	↑ top
20		Water Tera Kongming	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-2-1	58.3%	49.6%	52.0%	49.8%	1420	—
21		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-3-0	0.0%	49.4%	34.7%	49.4%	1196	↓ low
22		Wind Byakko	Tier 2	1	2.6%	1-1-3	50.0%	49.5%	46.7%	49.4%	1444	↑ top
23		Wind Neos	Tier 2	1	2.6%	1-4-1	25.0%	49.5%	46.7%	50.0%	1105	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 6 decks · 15.8%
• Wind Seiryuu 4 decks · 10.5%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 3 decks · 7.9%
• Water Fractal 3 decks · 7.9%
• Fire Aetherwing 2 decks · 5.3%
• Water Astra Ranger 2 decks · 5.3%
• Water Tera Mage 2 decks · 5.3%
• Arcane 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Tera Cleric 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Diana 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Tera Kongming 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Byakko 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 2.6%