← [TCG] Jan. RED STITCH CLOTH MAT event

Fire AetherwingTier 1

at [TCG] Jan. RED STITCH CLOTH MAT event

decks
2 (5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9 5-3-1
overall winrate
61.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.9% avg ELO +0.4 per match
expected value
54.9% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1352 · median 1352 · range 1311–1394 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1094 Q1 1280 Q3 1441 1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 15.8% 0
Wind Seiryuu 10.5% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 51.4% +1.4
Fire Crux Lorraine 7.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.4% -1.0
Water Fractal 7.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.4% +2.2
Water Astra Ranger 5.3% 0
Water Tera Mage 5.3% 0
Arcane 2.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.9% +1.5
Fire Aggro 2.6% 0
Fire Crux Mage 2.6% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.6% 0
Fire Oblation 2.6% 0
Fire Slimes 2.6% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 49.7% -0.3
Fire Suzaku 2.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Fire Tera Cleric 2.6% 0
Water Aetherwing 2.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.3% -1.1
Water Diana 2.6% 0
Water Genbu 2.6% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 2.6% 0
Water Tera Kongming 2.6% 0
Water Umbra Guardian 2.6% 0
Wind Byakko 2.6% 0
Wind Neos 2.6% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Aetherwing decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/41349/archetypes/Fire Aetherwing