← [TCG] Jan. RED STITCH CLOTH MAT event
Water Tera KongmingTier 2
at [TCG] Jan. RED STITCH CLOTH MAT event
decks
1
(2.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-2-1
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.6%
avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1420
· median 1420
· range 1420–1420
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1280
Q3 1441
1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| Arcane | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Wind Neos | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Kongming decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
