AGORA HOBBY PTM Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	6	9.5%	13-9-0	59.1%	61.1%	51.0%	52.3%	1266	—
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	5	7.9%	13-9-2	58.3%	54.5%	53.1%	51.8%	1309	—
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	4	6.3%	10-10-2	50.0%	57.8%	49.5%	52.5%	1228	↓ low
4		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	4	6.3%	8-6-3	55.9%	47.1%	50.5%	48.4%	1416	↑ top
5		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	4	6.3%	15-10-2	59.3%	52.6%	49.1%	47.5%	1220	↓ low
6		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	4	6.3%	9-7-2	55.6%	53.7%	54.4%	53.4%	1347	↑ top
7		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	3	4.8%	6-8-2	43.8%	50.0%	49.2%	50.7%	1156	↓ low
8		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	3	4.8%	11-3-1	76.7%	69.2%	55.8%	55.2%	1314	—
9		Water Allies	Tier 2	3	4.8%	5-7-3	43.3%	42.8%	49.1%	47.2%	1266	—
10		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	3	4.8%	2-8-0	20.0%	36.7%	43.7%	46.3%	1146	↓ low
11		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	2	3.2%	6-4-0	60.0%	51.9%	50.1%	49.3%	1302	—
12		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	2	3.2%	7-4-2	61.5%	57.4%	51.5%	52.1%	1227	↓ low
13		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	2	3.2%	2-4-0	33.3%	42.5%	45.0%	45.7%	1403	↑ top
14		Water Crux Assassin	Tier 2	2	3.2%	0-7-3	15.0%	30.9%	42.3%	44.4%	1152	↓ low
15		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	2	3.2%	3-6-1	35.0%	44.7%	42.1%	44.0%	1141	↓ low
16		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	2	3.2%	5-6-1	45.8%	53.1%	49.3%	51.2%	1340	↑ top
17		Wind Slice & Dice	Tier 2	2	3.2%	3-4-0	42.9%	43.4%	43.5%	42.6%	1323	—
18		Chess	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-4-1	25.0%	42.4%	43.6%	47.0%	1212	↓ low
19		Dawn of Ashes	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-4-1	25.0%	42.4%	43.6%	47.0%	1212	↓ low
20		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	1.6%	3-2-2	57.1%	52.3%	52.4%	52.4%	1376	↑ top
21		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	1.6%	4-2-0	66.7%	61.1%	52.2%	50.9%	1404	↑ top
22		Fire Triskit	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-1-0	50.0%	55.3%	46.7%	50.1%	1155	↓ low
23		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 3	1	1.6%	2-3-0	40.0%	38.0%	46.7%	44.4%	1315	—
24		Water Dawn of Ashes	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-4-1	25.0%	38.8%	45.7%	46.9%	1208	↓ low
25		Water Genbu	Tier 3	1	1.6%	3-3-0	50.0%	33.0%	44.7%	39.3%	1491	↑ top
26		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	1.6%	3-2-0	60.0%	49.1%	50.4%	47.8%	1433	↑ top
27		Water Neos	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-4-1	25.0%	38.8%	45.7%	46.9%	1208	↓ low
28		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-2-0	33.3%	47.9%	44.4%	47.6%	1255	—
29		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	1.6%	3-3-0	50.0%	42.4%	53.8%	50.0%	1412	↑ top
30		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	1.6%	5-2-0	71.4%	54.8%	56.8%	53.7%	1423	↑ top
31		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	1.6%	4-3-0	57.1%	55.5%	48.2%	49.3%	1296	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Aetherwing 6 decks · 9.5%
• Fire Crux Mage 5 decks · 7.9%
• Fire Aggro 4 decks · 6.3%
• Fire Oblation 4 decks · 6.3%
• Fire Suzaku 4 decks · 6.3%
• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 6.3%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 3 decks · 4.8%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 3 decks · 4.8%
• Water Allies 3 decks · 4.8%
• Water Tera Mage 3 decks · 4.8%
• Fire Crux Merlin 2 decks · 3.2%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 3.2%
• Horse and Taxes 2 decks · 3.2%
• Water Crux Assassin 2 decks · 3.2%
• Wind Arcane 2 decks · 3.2%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 3.2%
• Wind Slice & Dice 2 decks · 3.2%
• Chess 1 deck · 1.6%
• Dawn of Ashes 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Triskit 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Dawn of Ashes 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 1.6%