← AGORA HOBBY PTM Store Championship
Fire SuzakuTier 1
at AGORA HOBBY PTM Store Championship
decks
4
(6.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
27
15-10-2
overall winrate
59.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.6%
avg ELO +1.0 per match
expected value
49.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1220
· median 1218
· range 1068–1376
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1062
Q1 1184
Q3 1370
1584
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 9.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | -4.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.6% | -23.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 6.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +8.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.5% | -15.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.6% | -11.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.4 |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.4 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -2.9 |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.1% | +11.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -1.3 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chess | 1.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.6% | +8.2 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 1.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.6% | +8.2 |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Triskit | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.6% | +20.1 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.9% | +20.7 |
| Water Neos | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Wind Allies | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
