← AGORA HOBBY PTM Store Championship
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at AGORA HOBBY PTM Store Championship
decks
5
(7.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
24
13-9-2
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.5%
avg ELO +1.7 per match
expected value
53.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1309
· median 1342
· range 1182–1358
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1062
Q1 1184
Q3 1370
1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.3% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 53.7% | +2.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 6.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.8% | -2.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.4% | +23.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.3% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +1.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.2% | -4.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.5 |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.0% | +3.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +3.6 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.7% | +12.2 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.4% | -16.9 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.1 |
| Chess | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dawn of Ashes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Fire Triskit | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.3% | +24.4 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.9 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
