← ProjectCCG - PTM Store Championships - 01-18-2026
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at ProjectCCG - PTM Store Championships - 01-18-2026
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.6% | +6.3 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.8 |
| Neos | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.2 |
| Water Astra Diana | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 34 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 34 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hone by Fire | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rending Flames | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Dispersion | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Lorraine, Spirit Ruler | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Peer Beyond | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Flame Sweep | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Spirit's Blessing | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Infernal Vessel | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sword Saint's Vow | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Immolation Trap | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Prismatic Edge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tempered Steel | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Annul Spell | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Varuck, Smoldering Spire | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Crux Knight | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Undying Dreams | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Devastating Blow | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flamewreath Call | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |