← ProjectCCG - PTM Store Championships - 01-18-2026

Water Astra DianaTier 2

at ProjectCCG - PTM Store Championships - 01-18-2026

decks
1 (3.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.5% avg ELO +4.3 per match
expected value
52.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1254 · median 1254 · range 1254–1254 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1060 Q1 1234 Q3 1495 1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Lorraine 10.0% 0
Wind Seiryuu 10.0% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 10.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 62.6% +20.1
Fire Aetherwing 6.7% 0
Fire Aggro 6.7% 0
Fire Crux Mage 6.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.5% -13.5
Dawn of Ashes 3.3% 0
Fire Exia 3.3% 0
Fire Oblation 3.3% 0
Fire Suzaku 3.3% 0
Neos 3.3% 0
Slimes 3.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.9% +11.1
Water Aetherwing 3.3% 0
Water Astra Ranger 3.3% 0
Water Chess 3.3% 0
Water Fractal 3.3% 0
Water Genbu 3.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.0% +8.0
Water Umbra Guardian 3.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.5% -4.1
Wind Allies 3.3% 0
Wind Exia 3.3% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 3.3% 0
Wind Razorgale 3.3% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 3.3% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Astra Diana decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/41578/archetypes/Water Astra Diana