← ProjectCCG - PTM Store Championships - 01-18-2026
Water AetherwingTier 2
at ProjectCCG - PTM Store Championships - 01-18-2026
decks
1
(3.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
6-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
81.0%
avg ELO +16.5 per match
expected value
60.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
60.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1408
· median 1408
· range 1408–1408
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1060
Q1 1234
Q3 1495
1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +20.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.6% | +18.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dawn of Ashes | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neos | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.5 |
| Wind Exia | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 66.0% | +25.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.5 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
