← Indonesia Grand Archive Phantom Monarch Regionals

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Indonesia Grand Archive Phantom Monarch Regionals. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Allies 1 1.6% 6 91.7% 70.9% 59.4% 59.1% 1377 ↑ top
2 Wind Wakeup Combo 1 1.6% 6 91.7% 70.9% 59.4% 59.1% 1377 ↑ top
3 Fire Crux Lorraine 1 1.6% 6 75.0% 67.1% 57.4% 57.3% 1311 ↑ top
4 Fire Crux Mage 3 4.9% 18 63.9% 59.3% 55.9% 55.8% 1346 ↑ top
5 Wind Lorraine 1 1.6% 6 75.0% 58.2% 54.8% 53.3% 1359 ↑ top
6 Wind Seiryuu 7 11.5% 40 58.8% 54.8% 54.3% 53.0% 1322 ↑ top
7 Norm Tera Silvie 1 1.6% 6 58.3% 57.9% 53.6% 54.2% 1259
8 Water Dawn of Ashes 1 1.6% 6 58.3% 55.0% 52.9% 52.7% 1313 ↑ top
9 Fire Firebloom Burn 5 8.2% 26 61.5% 54.4% 52.5% 51.1% 1257
10 Water Astra Ranger 1 1.6% 6 58.3% 55.4% 52.5% 52.2% 1455 ↑ top
11 Arcane 1 1.6% 6 66.7% 53.6% 52.2% 51.0% 1302 ↑ top
12 Water Aetherwing 4 6.6% 17 47.1% 48.8% 51.7% 52.7% 1255
13 Water Fractal 3 4.9% 16 46.9% 48.1% 50.7% 50.4% 1236
14 Wind Astra Cleric 2 3.3% 12 58.3% 50.1% 49.7% 49.0% 1288
15 Fire Suzaku 3 4.9% 18 52.8% 49.6% 49.7% 48.4% 1276
16 Fire Aggro 3 4.9% 17 47.1% 56.0% 49.0% 51.2% 1246
17 Wind Chess 1 1.6% 6 33.3% 43.7% 48.0% 48.8% 1127 ↓ low
18 Wind Exia 1 1.6% 3 33.3% 49.7% 47.5% 50.3% 1153 ↓ low
19 Fire Umbra Guardian 1 1.6% 7 28.6% 46.0% 47.4% 50.1% 1133 ↓ low
20 Wind Umbra Guardian 1 1.6% 6 50.0% 52.1% 46.4% 47.5% 1205 ↓ low
21 Water Tera Mage 3 4.9% 18 47.2% 49.3% 46.2% 47.7% 1223
22 Water Genbu 2 3.3% 12 41.7% 48.5% 45.9% 47.5% 1185 ↓ low
23 Wind Shadowstrike 4 6.6% 20 42.5% 37.7% 45.5% 44.3% 1276
24 Fire Suited 2 3.3% 11 45.5% 54.1% 44.7% 47.5% 1210 ↓ low
25 Water Crux Assassin 3 4.9% 16 34.4% 40.5% 43.8% 44.4% 1188 ↓ low
26 Slimes 2 3.3% 10 10.0% 20.9% 40.0% 40.0% 1135 ↓ low
27 Fire Aetherwing 1 1.6% 3 0.0% 28.7% 40.0% 40.0% 1279
28 Fire Seiryuu 1 1.6% 3 0.0% 30.7% 40.0% 41.1% 1157 ↓ low
29 Fire Exia 2 3.3% 9 11.1% 30.5% 39.0% 43.5% 1142 ↓ low