EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 貓腳印雄二店 Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 3.2% | 9 | 88.9% | 74.5% | 61.4% | 60.2% | 1523 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Suited | 1 | 3.2% | 8 | 75.0% | 70.7% | 55.4% | 56.4% | 1387 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Exia | 1 | 3.2% | 5 | 70.0% | 63.8% | 55.0% | 55.9% | 1147 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 9.7% | 15 | 60.0% | 65.9% | 54.5% | 57.8% | 1254 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Water Allies | 2 | 6.5% | 10 | 60.0% | 55.7% | 52.7% | 51.5% | 1403 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Genbu | 1 | 3.2% | 6 | 66.7% | 47.1% | 52.4% | 47.7% | 1409 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Oblation | 4 | 12.9% | 17 | 50.0% | 50.8% | 52.3% | 51.1% | 1302 | — |
| 8 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 4 | 12.9% | 21 | 50.0% | 45.8% | 51.6% | 49.9% | 1294 | — |
| 9 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 3.2% | 5 | 50.0% | 54.7% | 51.4% | 53.2% | 1174 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 3.2% | 6 | 58.3% | 44.6% | 50.8% | 47.8% | 1408 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Umbra Alice | 2 | 6.5% | 8 | 31.2% | 21.8% | 48.7% | 42.2% | 1415 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 3.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 36.8% | 47.1% | 44.6% | 1274 | — |
| 13 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 3.2% | 5 | 30.0% | 36.0% | 44.3% | 43.7% | 1313 | — |
| 14 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 4 | 12.9% | 19 | 42.1% | 52.1% | 44.1% | 47.7% | 1295 | — |
| 15 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 6.5% | 6 | 16.7% | 32.6% | 43.3% | 43.1% | 1282 | — |
| 16 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 6.5% | 9 | 27.8% | 40.1% | 43.2% | 45.5% | 1232 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Water Crux Assassin | 1 | 3.2% | 4 | 0.0% | 36.4% | 40.0% | 44.0% | 1116 | ↓ low |