Wind Crux LorraineTier 1
at KYD PTM Store Champion
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.6% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 67.9% | +13.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.1% | -7.6 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 6.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.8% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 43.8% | -4.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.5% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.6% | -2.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.5 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.1% | -4.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +20.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.7% | -21.4 |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +6.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Merlin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +3.6 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 42 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 42 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calming Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Palvor Sword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Displace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Spirit Ruler | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Shadows | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Inert Sword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crux Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Votive Runeblade | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Crux Knight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Banner Knight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mirrorbound Covenant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Four of Spades | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Phalanx Captain | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Drawn Blade | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Prismatic Edge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |