Wind Wakeup ComboTier 1
at KYD PTM Store Champion
decks
3
(6.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
22
14-4-4
overall winrate
72.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.3%
avg ELO +2.8 per match
expected value
56.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1546
· median 1543
· range 1502–1591
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1106
Q1 1262
Q3 1447
1591
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.7% | +4.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 9.1% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.9% | -4.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 56.2% | +4.6 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 40.7% | -7.0 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.7% | +1.3 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.2 |
| Arcane | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.6 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 54.8% | +4.6 |
| Wind Merlin | 2.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.0% | +9.6 |
| Wind Neos | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Wakeup Combo decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
