← Island Phantom Monarchs Grand Archive Store Championships

Fire AetherwingTier 2

at Island Phantom Monarchs Grand Archive Store Championships

decks
4 (12.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
21 8-11-2
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.1% avg ELO -2.3 per match
expected value
46.4% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1306 · median 1312 · range 1064–1535 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1064 Q1 1215 Q3 1388 1688
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Seiryuu 19.4% 6 2-4-0 33.3% 40.0% 40.1% -5.3
Fire Crux Mage 12.9% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 58.0% +7.7
Fire Tera Silvie 6.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 34.6% -24.6
Water Aetherwing 6.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.9% -19.4
Wind Astra Cleric 6.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.1% -3.0
Wind Shadowstrike 6.5% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 58.2% +6.1
Fire Aggro 3.2% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 52.6% +2.5
Fire Arcane 3.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.5% -20.0
Fire Crux Merlin 3.2% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 58.6% +8.3
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.2% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 47.9% -2.0
Fire Neos 3.2% 0
Water Fractal 3.2% 0
Water Genbu 3.2% 0
Wind Crux Merlin 3.2% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 3.2% 0
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Fire Aetherwing decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/42287/archetypes/Fire Aetherwing