← Island Phantom Monarchs Grand Archive Store Championships
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Island Phantom Monarchs Grand Archive Store Championships
decks
1
(3.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.1%
avg ELO +4.7 per match
expected value
55.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1233
· median 1233
· range 1233–1233
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1215
Q3 1388
1688
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 19.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.8 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 12.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | +2.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
