← Island Phantom Monarchs Grand Archive Store Championships
Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at Island Phantom Monarchs Grand Archive Store Championships
decks
6
(19.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
28
11-12-5
overall winrate
48.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.9%
avg ELO +1.4 per match
expected value
50.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1255
· median 1230
· range 1124–1479
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1215
Q3 1388
1688
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aetherwing | 12.9% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +5.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.9% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 56.6% | +4.3 |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 6.5% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -1.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.1% | -5.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.3% | -18.8 |
| Fire Neos | 3.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Water Fractal | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 50.8% | +0.6 |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.8% | +4.3 |
