SlimesTier 2
at PTM Regional
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
3-8-0
overall winrate
27.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.6%
avg ELO -6.3 per match
expected value
43.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1198
· median 1198
· range 1029–1368
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1168
Q3 1403
1558
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 15.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 9.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 41.6% | -6.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Merlin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.4 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.4 |
| Wind Chess | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.8 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
