PTM Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	5	15.6%	12-11-2	52.0%	55.1%	51.5%	52.8%	1322	—
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	4	12.5%	10-6-4	60.0%	41.8%	52.4%	45.9%	1401	↑ top
3		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 1	3	9.4%	8-5-1	60.7%	65.2%	52.0%	54.7%	1238	—
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	6.2%	5-5-2	50.0%	52.2%	49.5%	50.4%	1232	↓ low
5		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	2	6.2%	4-6-0	40.0%	41.2%	46.1%	46.6%	1374	↑ top
6		Slimes	Tier 2	2	6.2%	3-8-0	27.3%	35.6%	43.0%	44.0%	1198	↓ low
7		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	2	6.2%	3-4-4	45.5%	50.2%	46.9%	48.9%	1229	↓ low
8		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-3-0	25.0%	42.2%	43.0%	45.2%	1168	↓ low
9		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	40.0%	40.0%	45.3%	1104	↓ low
10		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	38.6%	46.8%	40.7%	1405	↑ top
11		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-1-1	75.0%	65.3%	55.3%	56.6%	1316	—
12		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-1-1	75.0%	76.4%	56.2%	61.4%	1282	—
13		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-2-2	40.0%	49.8%	50.7%	52.1%	1122	↓ low
14		Fire Merlin	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-3-1	41.7%	39.3%	50.0%	47.4%	1381	↑ top
15		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	40.8%	51.5%	47.6%	1427	↑ top
16		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-1	58.3%	48.2%	47.0%	47.2%	1402	↑ top
17		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-2-2	50.0%	59.9%	53.6%	57.1%	1167	↓ low
18		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-1	58.3%	49.3%	49.5%	48.6%	1404	↑ top
19		Wind Chess	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	55.1%	48.0%	53.2%	1093	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Aetherwing 5 decks · 15.6%
• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 12.5%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 3 decks · 9.4%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 6.2%
• Slimes 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Merlin 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Chess 1 deck · 3.1%