Wind Umbra RangerTier 1
at PTM Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 15.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 63.1% | +12.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.5% | +21.7 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.3 |
| Slimes | 6.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 58.4% | +6.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.1% | +24.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.5% | -11.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.3 |
| Fire Merlin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.6 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Umbra Ranger decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 32 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 32 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Peer Beyond | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Deploy Gunshield | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Imperious Galebind | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rapid Reload | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Displace | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Enfeebling Orb | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lost Providence | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Carter, Synthetic Reaper | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unmake Duality | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Orb of Regret | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Abnegation | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Calming Breeze | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Juggle Knives | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sylph's Envelopment | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |