← Illusive TCG Presents ONLINE WEBCAM REGIONAL
Fire AetherwingTier 1
at Illusive TCG Presents ONLINE WEBCAM REGIONAL
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.7% | 5 | 5-0-0 | 100.0% | 77.8% | 63.6% | +7.8 |
| Water Fractal | 9.5% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.5% | +2.3 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.5% | +6.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.3% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.7% | -0.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.6% | -4.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.4% | -7.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 41.7% | -6.2 |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 45.8% | -4.0 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 47.6% | -2.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.1 |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.1 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.8 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Merlin | 1.6% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 60.7% | +8.0 |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 7 from this event
The 7 public Fire Aetherwing decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 32 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 32 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ranger Boots | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Evasive Positioning | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flickering Cinder | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Palvor Sword | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ignis Deus | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Quickdraw Piercer | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Stolen Chance | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Peer Beyond | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Aetherwing's Ward | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Incendiary Shot | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Manabolt Convergence | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Inert Sword | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Contraband Revolver | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Blazing Throw | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ashwound Shot | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Immolation Trap | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reposition | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mad Hatter, Morose Heritor | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Singeing Leap | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Prudent Nock | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ranger Strides | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Enfeebling Orb | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Topsy Decree | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Aetheric Reforging | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Piercing Aetherfuel | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rocket Jump | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |