← Illusive TCG Presents ONLINE WEBCAM REGIONAL
Fire ArcaneTier 2
at Illusive TCG Presents ONLINE WEBCAM REGIONAL
decks
1
(1.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.1%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
53.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1419
· median 1419
· range 1419–1419
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1255
Q3 1418
1597
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 11.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 52.4% | +2.3 |
| Water Fractal | 9.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.4 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -10.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.2% | +3.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Merlin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
