← Illusive TCG Presents ONLINE WEBCAM REGIONAL
Wind MerlinTier 3
at Illusive TCG Presents ONLINE WEBCAM REGIONAL
decks
1
(1.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.5%
avg ELO -3.2 per match
expected value
41.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1353
· median 1353
· range 1353–1353
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1255
Q3 1418
1597
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 11.1% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 39.3% | -8.0 |
| Water Fractal | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.2 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Merlin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
