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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
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Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aetherwing | 11.1% | 5 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | 22.2% | 36.4% | -7.8 |
| Water Fractal | 9.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.1% | -4.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.9% | 6 | 1-4-1 | 25.0% | 35.0% | 44.9% | -2.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.3% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +1.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.6% | +6.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.8% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.7% | -2.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.8% | -2.1 |
| Fire Suited | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.4% | +3.8 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.1 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.1% | +3.0 |
| Wind Merlin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.6% | -2.3 |
Decklists · 8 from this event
The 8 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 28 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 28 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nocturne's Oblivion | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Calming Breeze | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Lost Providence | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shadow's Claw | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 |