← Illusive TCG Presents ONLINE WEBCAM REGIONAL
Water AlliesTier 2
at Illusive TCG Presents ONLINE WEBCAM REGIONAL
decks
1
(1.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.7%
avg ELO +4.1 per match
expected value
53.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1257
· median 1257
· range 1257–1257
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1255
Q3 1418
1597
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 9.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +1.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +2.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Merlin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
