Wind Wakeup ComboTier 1
at CakeTCG PTM Online Regional
decks
4
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
26
16-7-3
overall winrate
67.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.3%
avg ELO +2.7 per match
expected value
54.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1410
· median 1398
· range 1382–1464
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
976
Q1 1302
Q3 1435
1656
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.7% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 53.4% | +2.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.4% | -2.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.3% | +4.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.4% | -7.3 |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.7% | +10.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.6 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.2 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 47.2% | -2.7 |
| Fire Exia | 1.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.6% | -2.3 |
| Fire Genbu | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.5 |
| Water Fractal | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.5% | +2.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.3 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Wind Allies | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.0 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Wakeup Combo decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
