CakeTCG PTM Online Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	7	9.7%	13-15-12	47.5%	50.8%	51.2%	51.1%	1295	↓ low
2		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	5	6.9%	10-12-4	46.2%	50.1%	46.9%	49.1%	1411	—
3		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	5	6.9%	14-11-7	54.7%	51.1%	51.0%	49.9%	1373	—
4		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	4	5.6%	9-10-4	47.8%	48.5%	51.0%	49.9%	1348	—
5		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	4	5.6%	10-10-1	50.0%	56.0%	49.2%	51.2%	1263	↓ low
6		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 1	4	5.6%	16-7-3	67.3%	57.3%	54.1%	52.2%	1410	—
7		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	3	4.2%	9-10-2	47.6%	45.3%	47.7%	47.5%	1393	—
8		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	3	4.2%	8-7-3	52.8%	50.0%	51.1%	50.1%	1361	—
9		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	3	4.2%	7-5-2	57.1%	54.4%	53.0%	51.5%	1504	↑ top
10		Water Allies	Tier 1	3	4.2%	7-6-4	52.9%	50.7%	50.0%	49.9%	1338	—
11		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	3	4.2%	4-7-3	39.3%	46.3%	44.2%	47.4%	1338	—
12		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	2	2.8%	3-8-0	27.3%	42.4%	44.8%	47.0%	1450	↑ top
13		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	2	2.8%	8-3-3	67.9%	54.7%	54.9%	51.2%	1474	↑ top
14		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	2	2.8%	6-3-5	60.7%	55.2%	51.8%	51.4%	1387	—
15		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	2	2.8%	6-3-3	62.5%	46.3%	53.1%	48.2%	1481	↑ top
16		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	2	2.8%	3-9-2	28.6%	46.9%	44.0%	48.7%	1250	↓ low
17		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	2.8%	2-6-0	25.0%	40.7%	45.6%	47.7%	1518	↑ top
18		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	2	2.8%	3-7-0	30.0%	44.2%	47.1%	48.4%	1380	—
19		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	1.4%	4-3-0	57.1%	43.9%	55.1%	49.2%	1535	↑ top
20		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	1.4%	4-4-0	50.0%	55.4%	49.1%	51.6%	1319	↓ low
21		Fire Genbu	Tier 3	1	1.4%	0-2-0	0.0%	37.5%	40.0%	42.5%	1444	↑ top
22		Fire Umbra Diana	Tier 2	1	1.4%	3-3-1	50.0%	56.2%	48.4%	50.6%	1425	↑ top
23		Horse and Taxes	Tier 3	1	1.4%	3-3-0	50.0%	41.3%	47.2%	45.3%	1560	↑ top
24		Water Chess	Tier 2	1	1.4%	2-3-1	41.7%	48.4%	51.2%	50.8%	1251	↓ low
25		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	1.4%	2-2-1	50.0%	44.5%	51.4%	48.5%	1432	↑ top
26		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	1.4%	4-2-1	64.3%	56.3%	53.2%	52.5%	1416	—
27		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	1.4%	3-4-1	43.8%	51.1%	50.0%	51.1%	1353	—
28		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 3	1	1.4%	0-1-0	0.0%	42.9%	40.0%	42.9%	1335	—
29		Water Tera Kongming	Tier 3	1	1.4%	1-3-1	30.0%	43.7%	45.6%	47.5%	1420	—
30		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	1.4%	2-4-0	33.3%	51.9%	48.7%	51.8%	1244	↓ low
31		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	1.4%	6-1-0	85.7%	52.8%	55.4%	50.3%	1464	↑ top
32		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	1.4%	4-1-2	71.4%	57.5%	54.8%	52.6%	1386	—
33		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 3	1	1.4%	2-3-0	40.0%	46.4%	47.0%	47.8%	1251	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 7 decks · 9.7%
• Fire Aetherwing 5 decks · 6.9%
• Wind Seiryuu 5 decks · 6.9%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 4 decks · 5.6%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 4 decks · 5.6%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 4 decks · 5.6%
• Fire Crux Mage 3 decks · 4.2%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 3 decks · 4.2%
• Water Aetherwing 3 decks · 4.2%
• Water Allies 3 decks · 4.2%
• Water Astra Ranger 3 decks · 4.2%
• Fire Oblation 2 decks · 2.8%
• Fire Slimes 2 decks · 2.8%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 2.8%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 2.8%
• Water Tera Mage 2 decks · 2.8%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 2.8%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 2 decks · 2.8%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 1.4%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 1.4%
• Fire Genbu 1 deck · 1.4%
• Fire Umbra Diana 1 deck · 1.4%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Chess 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Tera Kongming 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 1.4%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 1.4%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 1.4%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.4%