Wind CielTier 3
at リージョナル In Hasuya
decks
1
(1.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-5-0
overall winrate
28.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.0%
avg ELO -6.0 per match
expected value
47.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1116
· median 1116
· range 1116–1116
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1025
Q1 1194
Q3 1409
1619
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 6.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.5% | -16.8 |
| Water Fractal | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chess | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dawn of Ashes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
| Wind Allies | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Merlin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Ciel decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
