← SPELLROO GAMING 2.15 Grand Archive TCG Store Championship (Constructed)
SlimesTier 1
at SPELLROO GAMING 2.15 Grand Archive TCG Store Championship (Constructed)
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.4% | -23.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.8% | -6.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.2% | +8.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Water Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Wind Cats | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 14 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 14 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Undeniable Truth | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime King | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ghastly Slime | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ducal Seal | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |