← SPELLROO GAMING 2.15 Grand Archive TCG Store Championship (Constructed)

Wind Astra ClericTier 2

at SPELLROO GAMING 2.15 Grand Archive TCG Store Championship (Constructed)

decks
2 (10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7 3-4-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.5% avg ELO -4.3 per match
expected value
44.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1328 · median 1328 · range 1104–1552 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1104 Q1 1199 Q3 1459 1702
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 15.0% 0
Fire Arcane 10.0% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 36.5% -12.9
Slimes 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.7% -8.4
Water Genbu 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 36.3% -21.9
Fire Aetherwing 5.0% 0
Fire Exia 5.0% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.0% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 5.0% 0
Water Allies 5.0% 0
Water Astra Cleric 5.0% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 59.8% +9.4
Wind Cats 5.0% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 5.0% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 5.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.7% +7.6
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Calming Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Mnemonic Charm +1.00 1 0 0
Ravaging Tempest +1.00 1 0 0
Astral Seal -1.00 0 1 0
Stolen Chance +1.00 1 0 0
Spellshield: Astra +1.00 1 0 0
Beseech the Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Backup Charger -1.00 0 1 0
Ensnaring Fumes -1.00 0 1 0
Lost Providence +1.00 1 0 0
Unmake Duality -1.00 0 1 0
Tend the Land +1.00 1 0 0
Turbo Charge -1.00 0 1 0
Meteor Strike -1.00 0 1 0
Regenerate -1.00 0 1 0
The Looking Glass -1.00 0 1 0
Spirit of Serene Wind +1.00 1 0 0
Tariff Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Nascent Barrier +1.00 1 0 0
Cometfall +1.00 1 0 0
Horticounter -1.00 0 1 0
Topsy Decree -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/42931/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric