← SPELLROO GAMING 2.15 Grand Archive TCG Store Championship (Constructed)
Water Astra ClericTier 2
at SPELLROO GAMING 2.15 Grand Archive TCG Store Championship (Constructed)
decks
1
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
0-4-1
overall winrate
10.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
32.2%
avg ELO -10.3 per match
expected value
39.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
41.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1144
· median 1144
· range 1144–1144
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1104
Q1 1199
Q3 1459
1702
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.2% | -9.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -2.8 |
| Water Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Astra Cleric decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
