← SPELLROO GAMING 2.15 Grand Archive TCG Store Championship (Constructed)
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at SPELLROO GAMING 2.15 Grand Archive TCG Store Championship (Constructed)
decks
1
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
4-0-1
overall winrate
90.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.2%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
57.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1702
· median 1702
· range 1702–1702
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1104
Q1 1199
Q3 1459
1702
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 10.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 52.9% | +2.8 |
| Slimes | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.1% | +5.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Fire Exia | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Shadowstrike decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
