← MVP X PTM Store Championship
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at MVP X PTM Store Championship
decks
3
(9.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
18
8-5-5
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.4%
avg ELO +0.9 per match
expected value
52.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1389
· median 1460
· range 1246–1461
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1154
Q3 1408
1532
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 21.9% | 11 | 5-4-2 | 54.5% | 53.3% | 53.5% | +1.5 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 40.4% | -9.2 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -4.8 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Wind Arcane | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
