MVP X PTM Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	7	21.9%	16-13-6	54.3%	46.2%	51.6%	48.1%	1382	↑ top
2		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	3	9.4%	8-5-5	58.3%	52.4%	52.4%	51.1%	1389	↑ top
3		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	2	6.2%	2-6-2	30.0%	51.8%	40.6%	49.9%	1148	↓ low
4		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	2	6.2%	4-6-0	40.0%	28.2%	44.8%	40.9%	1298	—
5		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	2	6.2%	4-3-4	54.5%	60.5%	54.8%	58.1%	1405	↑ top
6		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	6.2%	9-0-2	90.9%	68.7%	59.2%	56.4%	1433	↑ top
7		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	2	6.2%	6-4-0	60.0%	49.4%	49.6%	48.1%	1401	↑ top
8		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	59.0%	50.8%	52.0%	1532	↑ top
9		Fire Neos	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-1-0	0.0%	47.3%	40.0%	47.3%	1047	↓ low
10		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-4-0	0.0%	39.9%	36.7%	45.3%	1042	↓ low
11		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	50.5%	54.3%	52.2%	1344	—
12		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	52.7%	43.3%	48.3%	1154	↓ low
13		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-2-2	40.0%	51.5%	45.0%	50.4%	1212	↓ low
14		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-1-1	70.0%	63.3%	47.9%	50.4%	1383	↑ top
15		Water Tera Cleric	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-4-0	20.0%	40.8%	43.3%	45.5%	1106	↓ low
16		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-2-2	40.0%	53.5%	44.7%	49.9%	1131	↓ low
17		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	49.9%	50.0%	49.0%	1280	—
18		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-3-0	25.0%	43.9%	42.9%	46.8%	1207	↓ low
19		Wind Slice & Dice	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-4-0	0.0%	37.1%	40.0%	44.7%	1139	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Seiryuu 7 decks · 21.9%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 3 decks · 9.4%
• Fire Aetherwing 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 6.2%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Neos 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Tera Cleric 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Slice & Dice 1 deck · 3.1%