← MVP X PTM Store Championship
Wind Wakeup ComboTier 2
at MVP X PTM Store Championship
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
6-4-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.4%
avg ELO -0.3 per match
expected value
49.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1401
· median 1401
· range 1399–1403
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1154
Q3 1408
1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 21.9% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.6% | -4.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 33.4% | -26.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 68.3% | +17.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.1% | -20.6 |
| Fire Neos | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.8 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Wakeup Combo decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
