← CakeTCG Utrecht PTM Regional
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at CakeTCG Utrecht PTM Regional
decks
2
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
5-6-0
overall winrate
45.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.1%
avg ELO -2.1 per match
expected value
45.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1295
· median 1295
· range 1164–1425
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1107
Q1 1191
Q3 1401
1543
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 14.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 41.0% | -6.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.2% | -2.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.4 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.4 |
| Fire Exia | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Water Chess | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Merlin | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
