← CakeTCG Utrecht PTM Regional
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at CakeTCG Utrecht PTM Regional
decks
3
(8.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19
10-6-3
overall winrate
60.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.7%
avg ELO +2.6 per match
expected value
51.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1379
· median 1402
· range 1216–1520
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1107
Q1 1191
Q3 1401
1543
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 14.7% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 61.6% | +7.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.7% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 33.5% | -10.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Water Chess | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.5 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.9% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.6% | +0.6 |
| Wind Allies | 2.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.9% | +6.6 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Merlin | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.2 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.9% | +6.6 |
