Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at JWW/Maindeck PTM Regional
decks
2
(5.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-4-1
overall winrate
55.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.2%
avg ELO +3.2 per match
expected value
53.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1265
· median 1265
· range 1233–1297
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1079
Q1 1130
Q3 1331
1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 58.1% | +6.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 8.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 8.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.8% | +3.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.2% | +3.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.7 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.8% | -3.5 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
