JWW/Maindeck PTM Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	5	14.3%	11-14-3	44.6%	50.5%	48.0%	49.8%	1211	—
2		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	3	8.6%	6-8-0	42.9%	49.1%	46.0%	47.5%	1164	↓ low
3		Water Fractal	Tier 1	3	8.6%	12-5-1	69.4%	58.0%	54.2%	51.3%	1401	↑ top
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	2	5.7%	4-8-0	33.3%	43.0%	47.1%	49.7%	1105	↓ low
5		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	2	5.7%	8-4-0	66.7%	57.5%	57.2%	54.1%	1323	↑ top
6		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	2	5.7%	8-2-2	75.0%	63.3%	57.3%	55.4%	1368	↑ top
7		Water Genbu	Tier 2	2	5.7%	4-5-1	45.0%	44.4%	50.0%	49.3%	1224	—
8		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	2	5.7%	5-4-1	55.0%	57.2%	53.7%	53.8%	1265	—
9		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.9%	3-3-0	50.0%	56.5%	51.2%	53.4%	1095	↓ low
10		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.9%	0-3-0	0.0%	30.6%	40.0%	41.0%	1084	↓ low
11		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.9%	2-2-1	50.0%	56.9%	52.5%	54.8%	1209	—
12		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	2.9%	2-4-0	33.3%	46.7%	40.7%	43.7%	1112	↓ low
13		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.9%	4-1-1	75.0%	53.3%	56.4%	51.3%	1689	↑ top
14		Fire Neos	Tier 2	1	2.9%	3-3-0	50.0%	51.1%	50.7%	49.9%	1231	—
15		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	2.9%	2-4-0	33.3%	36.1%	43.3%	41.9%	1161	↓ low
16		Fire Umbra Alice	Tier 2	1	2.9%	2-4-0	33.3%	49.2%	45.0%	48.2%	1080	↓ low
17		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.9%	2-3-0	40.0%	36.0%	44.6%	41.7%	1259	—
18		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	2.9%	4-0-2	83.3%	53.6%	55.6%	51.3%	1590	↑ top
19		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	2.9%	1-4-1	25.0%	36.2%	46.0%	47.2%	1190	↓ low
20		Wind Exia	Tier 2	1	2.9%	4-2-0	66.7%	54.0%	57.9%	53.5%	1415	↑ top
21		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	2.9%	1-3-0	25.0%	42.0%	42.0%	44.4%	1128	↓ low
22		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.9%	1-3-1	30.0%	47.8%	46.4%	49.9%	1191	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 5 decks · 14.3%
• Fire Slimes 3 decks · 8.6%
• Water Fractal 3 decks · 8.6%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 5.7%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 5.7%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 5.7%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 5.7%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 5.7%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.9%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 2.9%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.9%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 2.9%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.9%
• Fire Neos 1 deck · 2.9%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 2.9%
• Fire Umbra Alice 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 2.9%
• Wind Exia 1 deck · 2.9%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 2.9%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.9%