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Fire Umbra GuardianTier 3
at Gamersshop Gaming Store Regionals PTM (5th Floor)
decks
2
(2.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
8-6-0
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.2%
avg ELO +3.0 per match
expected value
47.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1268
· median 1268
· range 1184–1351
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
936
Q1 1176
Q3 1400
1668
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.9% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.9% | -1.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.8% | -10.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.9 |
| Wind Allies | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.4% | +3.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -15.9 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ciel | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.7% | +25.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Seiryuu | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slice & Dice | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
