Wind NeosTier 2
at Apex PTM SC
decks
1
(2.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-1-2
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.8%
avg ELO -6.1 per match
expected value
44.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1193
· median 1193
· range 1193–1193
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1047
Q1 1230
Q3 1401
1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 8.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.1% | -19.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slice & Dice | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.7 |
| Wind Allies | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Neos decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
