Grand Archive - Constructed - Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	6	10.7%	15-14-1	51.7%	54.0%	48.5%	48.5%	1278	—
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	6	10.7%	13-11-4	53.6%	50.3%	52.0%	51.0%	1300	—
3		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	5	8.9%	9-11-2	45.5%	45.7%	50.0%	50.0%	1232	↓ low
4		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	5	8.9%	11-10-4	52.0%	53.8%	49.7%	51.6%	1360	↑ top
5		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	4	7.1%	9-9-0	50.0%	43.1%	48.0%	44.8%	1272	—
6		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	3	5.4%	8-6-2	56.2%	60.4%	55.3%	57.0%	1294	—
7		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	2	3.6%	5-6-1	45.8%	42.6%	45.2%	45.7%	1493	↑ top
8		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	2	3.6%	7-5-0	58.3%	55.0%	51.6%	52.1%	1282	—
9		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	2	3.6%	3-7-0	30.0%	40.6%	43.9%	45.8%	1199	↓ low
10		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	2	3.6%	7-4-1	62.5%	67.2%	53.7%	56.1%	1260	—
11		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	2	3.6%	6-5-0	54.5%	60.4%	50.7%	52.9%	1276	—
12		Water Genbu	Tier 2	2	3.6%	7-4-1	62.5%	39.9%	51.3%	43.0%	1442	↑ top
13		Arcane	Tier 3	1	1.8%	3-3-0	50.0%	55.2%	46.7%	49.5%	1238	—
14		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	1.8%	3-3-0	50.0%	53.3%	48.7%	49.7%	1176	↓ low
15		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	1.8%	2-4-0	33.3%	54.5%	49.2%	53.5%	1076	↓ low
16		Fire Tera Silvie	Tier 3	1	1.8%	1-4-1	25.0%	37.6%	46.2%	46.5%	1269	—
17		Fire Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	1.8%	2-3-1	41.7%	32.2%	53.6%	47.7%	1563	↑ top
18		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	1.8%	4-0-2	83.3%	53.2%	59.1%	51.2%	1552	↑ top
19		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	1.8%	2-2-0	50.0%	49.0%	50.8%	50.8%	1228	↓ low
20		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	1.8%	4-2-0	66.7%	52.1%	50.6%	48.1%	1452	↑ top
21		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	1.8%	3-3-0	50.0%	55.9%	49.6%	51.4%	1264	—
22		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	1.8%	1-2-1	37.5%	36.2%	48.9%	45.0%	1438	↑ top
23		Wind Lorraine	Tier 3	1	1.8%	0-3-0	0.0%	37.7%	40.0%	43.1%	1074	↓ low
24		Wind Slice & Dice	Tier 3	1	1.8%	3-3-0	50.0%	58.5%	46.7%	50.3%	1199	↓ low
25		Wind Tera Silvie	Tier 3	1	1.8%	0-3-0	0.0%	32.8%	40.0%	42.4%	1123	↓ low
26		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 3	1	1.8%	1-5-0	16.7%	31.7%	46.3%	46.9%	1051	↓ low
27		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	1.8%	4-1-1	75.0%	68.1%	55.4%	56.8%	1459	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 6 decks · 10.7%
• Wind Shadowstrike 6 decks · 10.7%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 5 decks · 8.9%
• Wind Seiryuu 5 decks · 8.9%
• Fire Aggro 4 decks · 7.1%
• Water Aetherwing 3 decks · 5.4%
• Fire Crux Merlin 2 decks · 3.6%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 3.6%
• Fire Oblation 2 decks · 3.6%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 3.6%
• Horse and Taxes 2 decks · 3.6%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 3.6%
• Arcane 1 deck · 1.8%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 1.8%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 1.8%
• Fire Tera Silvie 1 deck · 1.8%
• Fire Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 1.8%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Slice & Dice 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Tera Silvie 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 1.8%