← MainPhase Phantom Monarchs - Store Championships

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at MainPhase Phantom Monarchs - Store Championships. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Astra Cleric 2 4.2% 10 90.0% 58.3% 60.7% 52.2% 1525 ↑ top
2 Fire Suzaku 1 2.1% 6 66.7% 49.5% 59.7% 52.5% 1346 ↑ top
3 Fire Luxem Assassin 1 2.1% 6 75.0% 66.6% 57.0% 57.9% 1449 ↑ top
4 Water Slimes 1 2.1% 6 75.0% 48.0% 55.5% 49.8% 1467 ↑ top
5 Fire Firebloom Burn 1 2.1% 6 50.0% 52.4% 53.3% 52.8% 1202 ↓ low
6 Water Ravishing Mill 1 2.1% 6 50.0% 54.9% 52.7% 53.8% 1168 ↓ low
7 Wind Seiryuu 4 8.3% 22 63.6% 58.9% 52.3% 50.8% 1411 ↑ top
8 Wind Shadowstrike 2 4.2% 12 62.5% 56.9% 52.2% 51.4% 1206 ↓ low
9 Horse and Taxes 2 4.2% 12 70.8% 52.9% 51.9% 48.6% 1470 ↑ top
10 Fire Slimes 1 2.1% 6 58.3% 56.0% 51.8% 52.1% 1362 ↑ top
11 Slimes 1 2.1% 6 58.3% 53.8% 51.1% 50.6% 1269
12 Fire Crux Lorraine 2 4.2% 12 58.3% 51.7% 50.9% 50.2% 1336 ↑ top
13 Water Aetherwing 2 4.2% 12 45.8% 51.6% 50.5% 50.8% 1299
14 Wind Nico 1 2.1% 6 41.7% 52.7% 50.0% 52.6% 1160 ↓ low
15 Wind Luxem Assassin 1 2.1% 6 41.7% 38.3% 49.4% 46.5% 1345 ↑ top
16 Fire Aggro 5 10.4% 23 37.0% 49.6% 49.1% 51.9% 1115 ↓ low
17 Water Tera Mage 1 2.1% 6 41.7% 54.4% 49.0% 52.3% 1189 ↓ low
18 Fire Umbra Guardian 1 2.1% 6 41.7% 33.9% 48.6% 43.6% 1351 ↑ top
19 Water Tera Tamer 1 2.1% 6 33.3% 52.7% 48.2% 52.7% 989 ↓ low
20 Water Fractal 3 6.2% 16 46.9% 56.5% 47.6% 50.7% 1267
21 Wind Wakeup Combo 2 4.2% 9 33.3% 33.1% 47.5% 46.3% 1280
22 Wind Allies 2 4.2% 12 50.0% 55.4% 47.3% 49.6% 1146 ↓ low
23 Fire Aetherwing 2 4.2% 8 43.8% 37.3% 47.1% 44.7% 1276
24 Fire Oblation 1 2.1% 6 33.3% 50.5% 46.7% 51.7% 1174 ↓ low
25 Wind Arcane 1 2.1% 6 50.0% 51.8% 46.7% 48.3% 1325
26 Fire Crux Mage 2 4.2% 8 25.0% 37.3% 46.5% 48.0% 1172 ↓ low
27 Water Genbu 1 2.1% 6 50.0% 47.1% 45.7% 46.2% 1269
28 Wind Razorgale 1 2.1% 6 16.7% 36.4% 41.8% 43.2% 1000 ↓ low
29 Fire Suited 1 2.1% 6 33.3% 43.1% 41.2% 43.7% 1234
30 Wind Slice & Dice 1 2.1% 4 0.0% 30.4% 40.0% 41.8% 1126 ↓ low