← MainPhase Phantom Monarchs - Store Championships
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at MainPhase Phantom Monarchs - Store Championships.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 4.2% | 10 | 90.0% | 58.3% | 60.7% | 52.2% | 1525 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 66.7% | 49.5% | 59.7% | 52.5% | 1346 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 75.0% | 66.6% | 57.0% | 57.9% | 1449 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Slimes | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 75.0% | 48.0% | 55.5% | 49.8% | 1467 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 50.0% | 52.4% | 53.3% | 52.8% | 1202 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 50.0% | 54.9% | 52.7% | 53.8% | 1168 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Seiryuu | 4 | 8.3% | 22 | 63.6% | 58.9% | 52.3% | 50.8% | 1411 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 4.2% | 12 | 62.5% | 56.9% | 52.2% | 51.4% | 1206 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Horse and Taxes | 2 | 4.2% | 12 | 70.8% | 52.9% | 51.9% | 48.6% | 1470 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 58.3% | 56.0% | 51.8% | 52.1% | 1362 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Slimes | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 58.3% | 53.8% | 51.1% | 50.6% | 1269 | — |
| 12 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 4.2% | 12 | 58.3% | 51.7% | 50.9% | 50.2% | 1336 | ↑ top |
| 13 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 4.2% | 12 | 45.8% | 51.6% | 50.5% | 50.8% | 1299 | — |
| 14 | Wind Nico | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 41.7% | 52.7% | 50.0% | 52.6% | 1160 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 41.7% | 38.3% | 49.4% | 46.5% | 1345 | ↑ top |
| 16 | Fire Aggro | 5 | 10.4% | 23 | 37.0% | 49.6% | 49.1% | 51.9% | 1115 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 41.7% | 54.4% | 49.0% | 52.3% | 1189 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 41.7% | 33.9% | 48.6% | 43.6% | 1351 | ↑ top |
| 19 | Water Tera Tamer | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 33.3% | 52.7% | 48.2% | 52.7% | 989 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Water Fractal | 3 | 6.2% | 16 | 46.9% | 56.5% | 47.6% | 50.7% | 1267 | — |
| 21 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 2 | 4.2% | 9 | 33.3% | 33.1% | 47.5% | 46.3% | 1280 | — |
| 22 | Wind Allies | 2 | 4.2% | 12 | 50.0% | 55.4% | 47.3% | 49.6% | 1146 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Fire Aetherwing | 2 | 4.2% | 8 | 43.8% | 37.3% | 47.1% | 44.7% | 1276 | — |
| 24 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 33.3% | 50.5% | 46.7% | 51.7% | 1174 | ↓ low |
| 25 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 50.0% | 51.8% | 46.7% | 48.3% | 1325 | — |
| 26 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 4.2% | 8 | 25.0% | 37.3% | 46.5% | 48.0% | 1172 | ↓ low |
| 27 | Water Genbu | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 50.0% | 47.1% | 45.7% | 46.2% | 1269 | — |
| 28 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 16.7% | 36.4% | 41.8% | 43.2% | 1000 | ↓ low |
| 29 | Fire Suited | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 33.3% | 43.1% | 41.2% | 43.7% | 1234 | — |
| 30 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 2.1% | 4 | 0.0% | 30.4% | 40.0% | 41.8% | 1126 | ↓ low |