← Gaming Giant ALC Regional Championships
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Gaming Giant ALC Regional Championships.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 3 | 13.0% | 14 | 71.4% | 62.7% | 57.8% | 56.3% | 1321 | — |
| 2 | Wind Crux Mage | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 80.0% | 62.8% | 57.2% | 55.7% | 1292 | — |
| 3 | Water Allies | 3 | 13.0% | 13 | 61.5% | 58.4% | 53.3% | 53.3% | 1276 | — |
| 4 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 2 | 8.7% | 10 | 60.0% | 57.7% | 51.6% | 52.2% | 1276 | — |
| 5 | Wind Allies | 2 | 8.7% | 10 | 50.0% | 48.4% | 49.7% | 49.5% | 1222 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 3 | 13.0% | 13 | 53.8% | 46.2% | 49.6% | 47.7% | 1451 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 60.2% | 49.1% | 51.3% | 1237 | — |
| 8 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 4.3% | 3 | 16.7% | 37.6% | 45.0% | 45.6% | 1126 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Erupting | 2 | 8.7% | 9 | 33.3% | 43.2% | 43.7% | 45.8% | 1198 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Astra Cleric | 2 | 8.7% | 9 | 27.8% | 36.9% | 43.3% | 44.3% | 1286 | — |
| 11 | Wind Tera Silvie | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 20.0% | 34.7% | 42.5% | 43.2% | 1418 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Fire Neos | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 20.0% | 41.3% | 41.2% | 45.5% | 1126 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.3% | 1 | 0.0% | 42.9% | 40.0% | 42.9% | 1064 | ↓ low |