Fire SuzakuTier 2
at 3/29 Store Championship
decks
1
(3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
64.1%
avg ELO +8.1 per match
expected value
50.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1268
· median 1268
· range 1268–1268
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1092
Q1 1231
Q3 1325
1560
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 14.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 52.9% | +2.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.6 |
| Water Fractal | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.7 |
| Wind Slimes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suzaku decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
