Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at 3/29 Store Championship
decks
4
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
21
12-8-1
overall winrate
59.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.3%
avg ELO -1.4 per match
expected value
51.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1359
· median 1376
· range 1124–1560
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1092
Q1 1231
Q3 1325
1560
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.3% | -4.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 14.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.2% | -5.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
| Water Fractal | 7.1% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 58.1% | +5.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.6% | -3.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 47.1% | -2.1 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.8 |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 49.0% | -0.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
