Water Astra ClericTier 2
at Mercurial Heart Charity Cup
decks
2
(2.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
5-5-4
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.2%
avg ELO -0.3 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1322
· median 1322
· range 1231–1412
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1002
Q1 1241
Q3 1434
1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 18.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.5% | -4.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.9 |
| Water Genbu | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.7 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 4.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.7% | +3.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.7% | -3.7 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.8% | +10.4 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.5% | +2.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.8% | -8.4 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
