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Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at Reaper Game Store - Texas Regional
decks
2
(3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
7-5-1
overall winrate
57.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.1%
avg ELO +1.7 per match
expected value
50.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1277
· median 1277
· range 1203–1351
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1016
Q1 1206
Q3 1350
1607
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.7% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.1% | +2.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.9% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -0.9 |
| Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.9% | -19.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.9 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chess | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.9 |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.2 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slice & Dice | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
