← Reaper Game Store - Texas Regional

SlimesTier 2

at Reaper Game Store - Texas Regional

decks
4 (7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
24 10-12-2
overall winrate
45.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.2% avg ELO +1.2 per match
expected value
46.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1184 · median 1165 · range 1151–1254 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1016 Q1 1206 Q3 1350 1607
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 75% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Mage 10.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.9% -6.5
Wind Seiryuu 8.9% 5 3-1-1 70.0% 61.1% 63.5% +7.8
Wind Razorgale 7.1% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 37.4% -12.1
Fire Suited 5.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.0% -17.5
Fire Umbra Guardian 5.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.5% -13.5
Fire Crux Lorraine 3.6% 0
Fire Slimes 3.6% 0
Water Aetherwing 3.6% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 52.5% +2.4
Water Genbu 3.6% 0
Water Tera Cleric 3.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.9% -3.4
Wind Crux Lorraine 3.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.2% +11.6
Chess 1.8% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.3% +0.6
Fire Aggro 1.8% 0
Fire Arcane 1.8% 0
Fire Oblation 1.8% 0
Fire Suzaku 1.8% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 1.8% 0
Horse and Taxes 1.8% 0
Water Astra Ranger 1.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.4% -7.4
Water Crux Assassin 1.8% 0
Water Crux Lorraine 1.8% 0
Water Crux Mage 1.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.0% +14.3
Water Exia 1.8% 0
Water Fractal 1.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.4% -12.2
Water Kongming 1.8% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 1.8% 0
Water Slice & Dice 1.8% 0
Water Tera Kongming 1.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.9% -11.3
Wind Arcane 1.8% 0
Wind Byakko 1.8% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 73.4% +17.5
Wind Diana 1.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.3% +10.1
Wind Wakeup Combo 1.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.2% -7.8
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 20 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 20 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Horn of Beastcalling +1.00 1 0 0
Unbroken Mustang -1.00 0 1 0
Angelic Channeling -1.00 0 1 0
Undeniable Truth +1.00 1 0 0
Forest Cake +1.00 1 0 0
Enfeebling Orb +1.00 1 0 0
Slime King +1.00 1 0 0
Slimeshield +1.00 1 0 0
Gather Slimes -1.00 0 1 0
Fluffy Shopkeep +1.00 1 0 0
Fabricator Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Lustrous Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern -1.00 0 1 0
Hymn of Gaia's Grace -1.00 0 1 0
Slimecall Cyclone +1.00 1 0 0
Red Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Magnificent Banquet -1.00 0 1 0
Escape the Wreckage -1.00 0 1 0
Disenchant -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/50623/archetypes/Slimes